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MLB Over/Beneath Greatest Guess: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins, April 16

by Hifinis
April 16, 2025
in Sports
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MLB Over/Beneath Greatest Guess: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins, April 16
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Feb 26, 2025; Jupiter, Florida, USA; Miami Marlins right fielder Jesus Sanchez (7) looks on from inside the dugout against the New York Mets during the fourth inning at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-Imagn ImagesFeb 26, 2025; Jupiter, Florida, USA; Miami Marlins proper fielder Jesus Sanchez (7) seems on from contained in the dugout in opposition to the New York Mets throughout the fourth inning at Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium. Necessary Credit score: Sam Navarro-Imagn Pictures

A stunning flip of occasions in final evening’s over/below, because the Seattle Mariners pulled off the uncommon feat of placing a left-hander — and an excellent one at that. We’re nonetheless vying for the primary win of the week, and hopefully that comes on this Winsday night in South Seaside.

It’s there the place the Arizona Diamondbacks and Miami Marlins will play the sandwich tilt of their three-game set. A battle of gifted younger right-handers is on the billing after the D-backs claimed the collection opener in a rout.

A type of starters is arguably the perfect of his membership’s rotation proper now — and I say that even with the utmost affection for Sandy Alcantara. Sure, a respectable argument could possibly be made that 26-year-old Max Meyer is the cream of the Marlins’ crop at this second, and the work he’s displayed so far in 2025 justifies such a perception.

Meyer is coming off in all probability the perfect outing of his profession — in our below victory final Wednesday — stifling the Mets throughout six-plus shutout innings and scattering solely two hits and two walks. This project was an enormous stride within the profession of Meyer, representing the primary time he strung collectively a scoreless begin (not together with his second MLB project three years in the past when he exited within the first because of harm).

The 2020 No. 3 general draft choose is off to a sensational begin this season, having allowed solely 4 mixed runs throughout his three turns. He’s additionally produced a nifty 19-to-5 Okay/BB ratio in these 18 innings of labor whereas yielding solely a single homer.

Clearly, Meyer’s breakout is right here — and it’s a good suggestion to experience him whereas he’s rising. As I detailed earlier than his sport final week, that is somebody who was already within the means of lifting off a yr in the past with a superb April, earlier than the Marlins curiously despatched him all the way down to handle his workload (to be honest, it was following his return from Tommy John surgical procedure).

One thing that might drastically assist Meyer in his efforts is the truth that Ketel Marte (hamstring) is presently sidelined on the injured checklist. Whereas Arizona nonetheless has a good quantity of ammo in its lineup, it is a huge blow on condition that Marte is perhaps their high general offensive participant. He did end third within the Nationwide League MVP voting final season, bear in mind.

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Marte’s absence has been noticeable. Within the Diamondbacks’ first eight contests of the yr earlier than his absence, they have been averaging 6.4 runs per sport. Within the 9 video games since, that scoring output has dipped practically two full runs.

In the meantime, Brandon Pfaadt will get the ball for the street facet. After being a preferred sleeper choose by analysts and followers alike, the third-year right-hander has come by on these prognostications by being a high quality begin machine. If not for a two-out, sixth-inning solo house run in his second outing, Pfaadt would have three high quality begins to his title to start the marketing campaign.

The Louisville, Kentucky, native has gone precisely six innings apiece in all of his assignments so far and seemed stable every day out. Of word, he’s registered a formidable 1.06 WHIP, which might simply greatest his career-best mark from final yr (1.24) if it stays round there. Moreover, his batting common in opposition to (.242) is significantly decrease than it’s been in any of his different main league seasons.

Tonight’s date brings Pfaadt a matchup in opposition to one of many weakest lineups round. Whereas Miami has been scoring a bit greater than anticipated within the early going (4.3 runs per sport), the actual fact stays they’ve resided within the backside 5 of baseball in runs scored in every of the previous 4 seasons. I don’t count on the Fish to proceed surging with what they’ve penned on the lineup card each day.

Although that is already a higher-than-usual complete for a sport emanating from loanDepot park, I nonetheless recommend transferring onto the all-important variety of 9 by buying half a run.

Choose: UNDER 9 (-135, bet365)

2025 MLB Betting Report: 10-9-1, -0.38 unit
Over/Unders: 9-7-1
Props: 1-1
MLs: 0-1

Every wager graded as if it have been to win one unit except in any other case indicated.

Observe me on X (previously Twitter) @MattZylbert for potential further picks.

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Tags: AprilArizonaBetDiamondbacksMarlinsMiamiMLBOverUnder
Hifinis

Hifinis

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