The UFC returns to Paris, France this weekend for the fourth consecutive September with a Struggle Night time card that might produce the subsequent middleweight title challenger.
Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho are using spectacular sizzling streaks into their 185-pound predominant occasion and a dominant victory could possibly be sufficient for both to warrant a shot at new champion Khamzat Chimaev. Imavov is from France and could have the house crowd benefit over his Brazilian opponent.
The co-main occasion is one other France vs. Brazil matchup as French light-weight finisher Benoit Saint Denis faces good Brazilian striker Mauricio Ruffy in a pivotal matchup at 155 kilos.
The 13-bout occasion has a slew of European expertise together with the UFC debut of Croatia’s Ante Delija, a former PFL event champion set to face Polish heavyweight stalwart Marcin Tybura in a rematch of a 2015 bout.
Under is the projected bout order for UFC Paris plus full predictions…
— Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho
— Benoit Saint Denis vs. Mauricio Ruffy
— Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig
— Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones
— Axel Sola vs. Rhys McKee
— William Gomis vs. Robert Ruchala
— Oumar Sy vs. Brendson Ribeiro
— Marcin Tybura vs. Ante Delija
— Harry Hardwick vs. Kaue Fernandes
— Sam Patterson vs. Trey Waters
— Brad Tavares vs. Robert Bryczek
— Andreas Gustafsson vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov
— Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes
Forward of every UFC occasion in 2025, UFC reporter Aaron Bronsteter (@aaronbronsteter), producer Dan Fernandes (@DanFernandes__) and author/editor Mike Johnston (@MikeyJ_MMA) will peruse the chances and make 4 betting predictions utilizing fantasy {dollars}: one greatest guess, one favorite, one underdog and one dart throw wager. REMINDER: Sportsnet is dedicated to selling and educating audiences concerning the significance of betting responsibly. Sources for accountable playing might be discovered HERE.
Cage Lock: Oumar Sy -500
Favorite: Kaue Fernandes -170
Underdog: Marcin Tybura -105
Dart Throw: Tybura wins by submission +1000
I used to be unimpressed with Sy in his final bout, however this matchup is way too beneficial for Sy. With Ribeiro’s porous takedown defence, he ought to have the ability to dictate the phrases of this combat and win handily. … Fernandes must be a much bigger favorite regardless of the accolades of Hardwick in Cage Warriors. This brief discover project is a tall order as Fernandes may be very underrated. … Tybura gained his first matchup in opposition to Delija by harm stoppage previous to his time within the UFC, and he has improved as a fighter way more than his former foe. I consider Tybura will get this combat to the bottom and you may by no means underestimate his opportunistic submissions when he establishes high management.
Cage Lock: Modestas Bukauskas -350
Favorite: William Gomis -268
Underdog: Marcin Tybura -105
Dart Throw: Ruffy by determination +450
Bukauskas has been on a roll in 2025 and may declare his third win of the yr on Saturday. I’m a giant fan of his opponent Paul Craig however he’s 1-5 in his final six bouts and all of the momentum is clearly with Bukauskas on this one. I’ll reluctantly lock this one in and assume we don’t see a classic show from Paul Craig in Paris. … So long as he has a clean weight lower, I feel William Gomis will get again within the win column on residence soil. His opponent Robert Ruchala has dominated the Polish regional scene however this shall be a step up in competitors as he makes his UFC debut. Previous to dropping to Hyder Amil by determination again in March, Gomis was on a four-fight win streak within the UFC and his expertise at this stage ought to give him the sting right here. … I additionally assume Tybura’s UFC expertise provides him the sting. Tybura holds a win over his opponent Ante Delija in one other promotion a decade in the past. Delija suffered a nasty leg break in that combat and this might weigh closely on his mindset as soon as the Octagon door shuts and self-doubt begins to creep in. That is additionally Delija’s UFC debut, whereas Tybura has confronted among the easiest heavyweights within the promotion. … Maurico Ruffy’s KO over King Inexperienced was so spectacular I feel it has impacted the cash line right here. Benoit Saint-Denis has been knocked out twice not too long ago however will do all the things to keep away from getting slept in entrance of his residence crowd. Ruffy did not too long ago go to a choice with James Llontop. Not an not possible consequence right here for my part and potential for some nice returns.
Cage Lock: Bannon vs. Hughes goes distance -385
Favorite: Mauricio Ruffy -180
Underdog: Nassourdine Imavov +110
Dart Throw: Sam Patterson to win by submission in Spherical 2 +600
Paradoxically, my most assured choose this week was going to be taking Patricio Pitbull as a sizeable underdog earlier than that one sadly acquired cancelled. As a substitute, I’m going with one Preventing Nerd within the co-main occasion and in opposition to one other in the principle occasion. Imavov opened because the favorite within the headliner and has the stronger energy of schedule however the line has swung to the Borralho aspect, so I see worth on the house fighter. He ought to have a bonus on the ft if he can maintain it standing. … BSD leaves himself open too usually and Ruffy is a sniper who ought to have the ability to choose his spot and doubtlessly add one other spotlight KO to his report. … Bannon is coming off a pleasant stoppage win however normally requires three rounds and Hughes has gone the gap in 5 straight and eight of her previous 9 so a end is unlikely within the prelim opener.
Three legs: Sy + Bukauskas + Bannon vs. Hughes goes distance
Parlay odds: -106 (to win: $94.37)
2025 STANDINGS AFTER 29 EVENTS
2025 winnings: +$183.58 (on $100 bets)
AARON’S RECORDS/TOTALS (61-54-1, +21.32 models)
Cage Lock: 24-5 (-$14.79)
Favorite: 14-15 (-$733.28)
Underdog: 15-13-1 (+$980.24)
Dart throw: 8-21 (+$1,900)
DAN’S RECORDS/TOTALS (59-54-3, -9.54 models)
Cage Lock: 24-5 (-$41.58)
Favorite: 17-11-1 (-$252.65)
Underdog: 16-12-1 (+$830.24)
Dart throw: 2-26-1 (-$1,490)
MIKE’S RECORDS/TOTALS (48-64-4, -23.27 models)
Cage Lock: 21-8 (-$122.23)
Favorite: 16-13 (-$270.14)
Underdog: 10-17-2 (+$200)
Dart throw: 1-26-2 (-$2,135)
Cage Lock: The choose deemed to be the wager probably to win no matter what the chances appear to be. The Cage Locks parlay will mix Aaron’s, Dan’s and Mike’s respective greatest guess for every occasion.
Favorite: A fighter with profitable odds shorter than -300 however not longer than -110. On chalkier playing cards with a dearth of obtainable moneyline favourites that meet these standards, prop bets are allowed to be chosen.
Underdog: Any fighter with longer odds than their opponent’s.
Dart Throw: Any prop guess or moneyline wager with odds of +400 or longer.
(Betting odds above are through BetMGM, submitted at numerous instances all through week, and topic to vary previous to the fights)
