Oct 18, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Lynx ahead Napheesa Collier (24) celebrates her groups win after recreation 4 of the 2024 WNBA Finals towards the New York Liberty at Goal Middle. Necessary Credit score: Matt Krohn-Imagn Pictures There’s no higher time to guess on sports activities than the postseason. With the WNBA playoffs underway this week, listed here are a few of the finest bets.
Liberty vs. Mercury Odds
Unfold: New York Liberty (-2.5) (-112) vs. Phoenix Mercury (+2.5) (-108)
Moneyline: Liberty -148 | Mercury +120
Complete Factors (Over/Beneath): 159.5 (-112/-108)
New York placed on a defensive masterclass of their 76-69 win Sunday. The Liberty held Phoenix to 32.5 % capturing from the sector and 23.1 % from three, together with a mixed 4-for-28 from starters Satou Sabally and Monique Akoa Makani.
These numbers might not be sustainable, although.
The Liberty sported a middle-of-the-pack protection — sixth within the league with 80.3 factors allowed per recreation — this season, whereas the Mercury averaged 82.8 factors a contest.
Liberty guard Natasha Cloud matched her season excessive with 23 factors, together with six rebounds, 5 assists and 4 steals. Breanna Stewart added an environment friendly 18 factors, although a knee harm pressured her out of the sport in additional time. She’s now questionable for Recreation 2.
Cloud possible received’t replicate this efficiency, and even when Stewart is energetic for the second recreation of the collection, her harm could linger.
Finest Wager: Mercury Moneyline (+120, FanDuel)
Phoenix is due for some offensive regression in Recreation 2 after going by means of a frigid stretch within the collection opener. The Mercury scored 12 factors within the fourth quarter and additional time in Recreation 1.
Their capturing is sure to enhance, and with that can come a win that forces a decisive Recreation 3 in Phoenix.
Prop Decide: Satou Sabally Over 14.5 Factors (-114)
The All-Star ahead had possible her worst capturing evening of the season Sunday, going 2-for-17 from the sector and 1-for-10 from three. Coach Nate Tibbetts additionally clearly gave her the inexperienced gentle. Sabally performed practically 37 minutes, ending second on the group in discipline targets tried and first in threes taken.
She averaged 16.3 factors per recreation this yr, and with a shortened, seven-player rotation within the postseason, Sabally can have ample alternative to hit the over.
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Lynx vs. Valkyries Odds
Unfold: Minnesota Lynx (-10) (-114) vs. Golden State Valkyries (+10) (-106)
Moneyline: Lynx -600 | Valkyries +420
Complete Factors (Over/Beneath): 151.5 (-112/-108)
Minnesota thrashed Golden State in Sunday’s Recreation 1, defeating the first-year growth Valkyries 101-72. On paper, this isn’t surprising. The Lynx tied the WNBA file for single-season wins whereas the Valkyries completed simply above .500. This matchup actually shouldn’t be shut, simply because the oddsmakers assume.
Golden State has had a penchant for defying the chances, nevertheless. Whereas the Valkyries could not drive a Recreation 3, it’s onerous to think about they are going to concede triple-digit factors in a blowout loss for a second consecutive recreation.
Finest Wager: Valkyries +10 (-106)
The Valkyries had the league’s finest protection, a stifling unit that allowed 76.3 factors per recreation. Minnesota shot over 50 % from the sector and 40 % from three, and have become solely the third group to attain over 100 factors towards Golden State this season.
If the Valkyries’ protection performs a stable recreation and the offense is competent, they need to cowl the unfold and make Recreation 2 a single-digit affair.
Prop Decide: Napheesa Collier Over 20.5 Factors (-122)
As normal, Collier led Minnesota in scoring in Recreation 1 with 20 factors, sitting proper under her line for Wednesday’s recreation. She tried solely 11 pictures, although, second to Sixth Participant of the Yr contender Natisha Hiedeman’s 15. Hiedeman and ahead Jessica Shepard mixed for 30 bench factors for Minnesota.
Whereas the Lynx’s depth has been one of many foremost causes for his or her success, Collier firmly stays the primary possibility. She averages roughly 16 discipline purpose makes an attempt and 22.9 factors per recreation. Golden State could decelerate the sparkplugs on Minnesota’s bench in Recreation 2, however Collier will nonetheless produce.
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